Statistical Analysis - Long term estimation of weather for summer 2014 (London)

 

Forecast for summer 2014 (London):

General Trend - estimation
 
Summer trend in London (34 year statistical sample)
 
Trend of average temperature at 850 hPa: increasing at a rate of 0,015 degrees Celsius / year.
Summer 2013: average temperature at 850 hPa = 8,5 degrees Celsius.
Summer 2014: estimation of average temperature at 850 hPa = 6,5 degrees Celsius.
Summer 2014: 0,6 degrees Celsius colder than average climatic values.
 
June 2014
 
June 2014: 0,5 degrees colder than average climatic values.
June 2014: average temperature at 850h Pa = 5,2 degrees Celsius.
 
July 2014
 
July 2014: 0,4 degrees colder than average climatic values.
July 2014: average temperature at 850h Pa = 7,2 degrees Celsius.
 
August 2014
 
August 2014: 0,6 degrees colder than average climatic values.
August 2014: average temperature at 850 hPa = 7,2 degrees Celsius.
 
Summary:
-higher temperatures than climatic values/warm weather: beginning of July, late middle of July and beginning of August.
-lower temperatures than climatic values/cool weather: end of June, early middle of July, end of July and 5th to 25th of August.
 
Dimtrios Kabolis
YouWeather.com
 
The above analysis is a weather estimation and not a weather forecast.

Data provided by the NOAA/OAR/ESRL PSD, Boulder, Colorado, USA, from their Web site at http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/

Ημ/νία καταχώρησης: 9/5/2014