Statistical Analysis - Long term estimation of weather for winter 2015 (New York)
Long term weather forecast for winter 2015 (New York):
General Trend - estimation
Summer trend in New York (34 year statistical sample)
Trend of average temperature at 850 hPa: close to average climatic values - decreasing during the last years.
Winter 2014: average temperature at 850 hPa = -3.6 degrees Celsius.
Winter 2015: estimation of average temperature at 850 hPa = -3.2 degrees Celsius.
Winter 2015: 0.3 degrees Celsius colder than average climatic values.
December 2014
December 2014: -0.1 degrees colder than average climatic values.
December 2014: average temperature at 850h Pa = -1.3 degrees Celsius.
January 2015
January 2015: -0.7 degrees colder than average climatic values.
January 2015: average temperature at 850h Pa = -4.6 degrees Celsius.
February 2014
February 2014: 0.3 degrees colder than average climatic values.
February 2014: average temperature at 850 hPa = -3.6 degrees Celsius.
Summary:
-lower temperatures than climatic values/very cold weather: end of January and middle of February.
-higher temperatures than climatic values: middle of December, middle of January ann middle of February.
Dimtrios Kabolis
YouWeather.com
The above analysis is weather estimation and not weather forecast.
Data provided by the NOAA/OAR/ESRL PSD, Boulder, Colorado, USA, from their Web site at http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/
Ημ/νία καταχώρησης: 22/11/2014
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