Statistical Analysis - Long term estimation of weather for winter 2015 (Tokyo)

 

Long term weather forecast for winter 2015 (Tokyo):

General Trend - estimation
 
Summer trend in Tokyo (34 year statistical sample)
 
Trend of average temperature at 850 hPa: close to average climatic values - decreasing during the last years.
Winter 2014: average temperature at 850 hPa = -2.1 degrees Celsius.
Winter 2015: estimation of average temperature at 850 hPa = -1.9 degrees Celsius.
Winter 2015: 0.2 degrees Celsius colder than average climatic values.
 
December 2014
 
December 2014: -0.2 degrees colder than average climatic values.
December 2014: average temperature at 850h Pa = 0 degrees Celsius.
 
January 2015
 
January 2015: -0.5 degrees colder than average climatic values.
January 2015: average temperature at 850h Pa = -3.4 degrees Celsius.
 
February 2014
 
February 2015: 0.2 degrees colder than average climatic values.
February 2015: average temperature at 850 hPa = -1.9 degrees Celsius.
 
Summary:
-lower temperatures than climatic values/very cold weather: first half of January and middle of February.
-higher temperatures than climatic values: second half of January and middle of February.
 
Dimtrios Kabolis
YouWeather.com
 
The above analysis is weather estimation and not weather forecast.
 
Data provided by the NOAA/OAR/ESRL PSD, Boulder, Colorado, USA, from their Web site at http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/

Ημ/νία καταχώρησης: 26/11/2014