Statistical Analysis - Long term estimation of weather for winter 2015 (Lisbon)

 

Long term weather forecast for winter 2015 (Lisbon):

General Trend - estimation
 
Summer trend in Lisbon (34 year statistical sample)
 
Trend of average temperature at 850 hPa: decreasing during the last years.
Winter 2014: average temperature at 850 hPa = 4.9 degrees Celsius.
Winter 2015: estimation of average temperature at 850 hPa = 5.5 degrees Celsius.
Winter 2015: 0.6 degrees Celsius colder than average climatic values.
 
December 2014
 
December 2014: 0.3 degrees warmer then average climatic values.
December 2014: average temperature at 850h Pa = 6.5 degrees Celsius.
 
January 2015
 
January 2015: 0.1 degrees warmer than average climatic values.
January 2015: average temperature at 850h Pa = 5.1 degrees Celsius.
 
February 2014
 
February 2015: close to average climatic values.
February 2015: average temperature at 850 hPa = 5 degrees Celsius.
 
Summary:
-lower temperatures than climatic values/cool weather: beggining of December, Christmas week and beggining of January.
-higher temperatures than climatic values: middle and fall of December, middle to fall of January and middle of February.
 
Dimtrios Kabolis
YouWeather.com
 
The above analysis is weather estimation and not weather forecast.
 
Data provided by the NOAA/OAR/ESRL PSD, Boulder, Colorado, USA, from their Web site at http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/

 

Ημ/νία καταχώρησης: 10/12/2014